Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images President Barack Obama delivers his achievement accent afterwards getting reelected for a additional appellation at McCormick Place in Chicago.
President Barack Obama has won re-election – his charter on the White House renewed by a multicultural, center-left affiliation that care to accord GOP consultants nightmares, bearing an balloter academy barrage that afraid anybody not called Nate Silver. (The Five Thirty Eight guru's acceptability is as aureate this morning as SuperPAC arbiter Karl Rove's is tarnished.)
With four added years, Obama can now adhesive his historic legacy, in fact implementing Obamacare, the a lot of aggressive renegotiation of the American amusing arrangement back the 1960s. The admiral bankrupt arena on his additional appellation with an absorbing acceptance speech that recalled the best of 2008's applicant Obama, and 2004's assemblage Obama. He hit afresh on the criterion of his presidency, his acceptance "that while anniversary of us will accompany our own alone dreams, we are an American ancestors and we acceleration or abatement calm as one nation and as one people."
This chase wasn't close. Obama anchored a acceptable win of the accepted vote. And from his 2008 state-by-state haul, he surrendered alone Indiana (which was never in fact in play) and North Carolina (a abruptness squeaker) to Mitt Romney. Every added beat accompaniment – Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire – angled afresh into Obama's achievement column. If counting is complete, Florida, too, appears assertive to go blue.
In the end, Obama's committed attack volunteers accepted themselves account far added than annihilation the GOP's moneymen could buy. Voters rebuked the deceitful Romney and his awful belvedere to drip the affluent and abort the amusing assurance net.
How did aggregation Obama defeat Romney? Here, the six keys to victory:
1) The Assembly Machine
I appear on Obama's re-vamped get-out-the-vote apparatus this spring, previewing the technology that would accredit the attack to arrangement its GOTV operations far above attack offices and into the garages and abode apartment of its supporters.
At the time, attack administrator Jim Messina and acreage administrator Jeremy Bird were authoritative an early, aberrant investment in the arena bold – and that bet paid off like gangbusters. In a challenge that couldn't analyze to 2008's electricity, the 2012 Obama attack reproduced – through animal force, adherence and will – a assembly in the beat states that in some cases baffled the campaign's arresting achievement of four years ago. Yes, Obama absent North Carolina. But his final account there was in fact 35,000 votes greater than if he won the accompaniment in 2008.
2) Younger Voters
Sorry, Boomer Nation: Admiral Obama owes his additional appellation to Generation Y. Voters beneath 30 angry out in greater numbers than chief citizens and bankrupt for Obama over Romney 60-37. Gen X wasn't too shabby, either: Voters 30 to 44 gave Obama a 7 point edge. (Romney, on the added hand, won assuredly a part of voters 45 and older.) The numbers in Florida are decidedly striking. According to avenue polling, the Obama attack not alone bigger assembly a part of the under-30 set there, it ran up the margin, too: Young Floridians bankrupt 67-31 for Obama, bigger than the 61-37 allowance over McCain in 2008.
3) The Latino Vote
With 4 actor added registered voters in 2012 than in 2008, Latinos accounted for one in every ten voters in 2012, and these voters bankrupt for Obama by an ballsy 71-27 breach nationally. That is about in fact the allowance Bill Clinton afraid on Bob Dole in 1996, if there were alone bisected as abounding Hispanic votes. Messina told me beforehand in the attack that he was "obsessed" with the Latino vote, and that breeding Clinton's numbers adjoin Romney this year would beggarly Bold Over for the Republican. He was in fact appropriate – decidedly in Colorado, area the breach was even added lopsided: 75-23, up from 61-38.
4) African-Americans
The celebrated assembly of African-Americans from 2008 captivated abiding in 2012 at 13 percent of the electorate, nationwide. And the Obama attack in fact managed to admission atramentous assembly in cardinal states like Virginia, area one in 5 voters was African American. Romney becoming alone 5 percent of that vote, compared to the 8 percent won by John McCain.
5) Ohio Working Stiffs
Call it the "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt" factor. In Ohio, area the auto industry employs one in eight workers, Obama in fact acquired arena – 2 credibility – a part of high-school accomplished voters after academy degrees, about a quarter of the state's electorate. Analyze that to Wisconsin, area Obama absent 6 credibility a part of this cohort. Or North Carolina, area the dropoff was 11 points.
6) All the Single Ladies
Romney was apparitional by a alveolate gender gap, decidedly a part of bachelor women, who accounted for 23 percent of voters (up three credibility from 2008). While Romney himself took awkward pains to ability out to changeable voters, he was acclimatized to his active mate's moves to redefine rape, and to the GOP's broader calendar to absolute admission to not alone aborticide but bearing control. Obama took this voting affiliation by a 67-31 margin, nationally, and by about identical tallies in Ohio and Paul Ryan's home accompaniment of Wisconsin. The circle of chase and gender was abnormally able for the admiral in states like North Carolina, area atramentous women accounted for 14 percent of the electorate – and 99 out of 100 voted to defeat Mitt Romney.
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